Product |
Norovirus prevalence | | PR | = RiskBeta(2, 156) | This research; Vose (1997) |
Norovirus concentration | GC/g | C | = –LN(1 – PR) / 2 g | Sanna et al. (2004) |
Initial contamination level | PFU/g | IC | = 1 / 1,000 × C | Jensen et al. (2018) |
| Log PFU/g | LogIC | = Log(IC) | |
Market display |
Display time | h | Timemark-dis | = RiskUniform(0, 24) | Personal communication |
Food temperature during display | °C | Tempmark-dis | = RiskUniform(2, 4) | Personal communication |
Death |
| | h0 | = Fixed 0.001 | This research |
| Log PFU/g | Y0 | = average(Y0i) Fixed 4.1 | This research |
| Log PFU/g | Yend | = average(Yendi) Fixed 3.3 | This research |
| | LN(q) | = LN(1 / (EXP(h0) – 1)) | This research |
Death rate | Log PFU/g/h | DRmark-dis | = –0.0008 – 0.0003 × Tempmark-dis | This research |
Norovirus death | Log PFU/g | C1 | = LogIC + 1 / (1 + EXP(–LN(q))) × (1 – (10−lY0-Yendl / LN(10))) × DRmark-dis × Timemark-dis | This research |
Transportation (vehicle) |
Transportation time | h | Timeveh | = RiskUniform(0.325, 1.643) | Jung (2011) |
Food temperature during transportation | °C | Tempveh | = RiskPert(10, 18, 25) | Jung (2011) |
Death |
| | h0 | = Fixed 0.001 | = Fixed 0.001 |
| Log PFU/g | Y0 | = average(Y0i) Fixed 4.1 | This research |
| Log PFU/g | Yend | = average(Yendi) Fixed 3.3 | This research |
| | LN(q) | = LN(1 / (EXP(h0) – 1)) | This research |
Death rate | Log PFU/g/h | DRveh | = –0.0008 – 0.0003 × Tempveh | This research |
Norovirus death | Log PFU/g | C2 | = C1 + 1 / (1 + EXP(–LN(q))) × (1 – (10−lY0–Yendl/ LN(10))) × DRveh × Timeveh | This research |
Home storage |
Storage time | h | Timehome | = RiskUniform(0, 96) | Jeong et al. (2015) |
Food temperature during storage | °C | Temphome | = RiskLogLogistic(–29.283, 33.227, 26.666, RiskTruncate(–5, 20)) | Lee et al. (2015) |
Death |
| | h0 | = Fixed 0.001 | This research |
| Log PFU/g | Y0 | = average(Y0i) Fixed 4.1 | This research |
| Log PFU/g | Yend | = average(Yendi) Fixed 3.3 | This research |
| | LN(q) | = LN(1 / (EXP(h0) – 1)) | This research |
Death rate | Log PFU/g/h | DRhome | = –0.0008 – 0.0003 × Temphome | This research |
Norovirus death | Log PFU/g | C3 | = C2 + 1 / (1 + EXP(–LN(q))) × (1 – (10−lY0–Yendl/ LN(10))) × DRhome × Timehome | This research |
| PFU/g | C3PFU/g | = 10C3 | This research |
Consumption |
Daily consumption average amount | g | Consump | = RiskPert(1.8200, 1.8200, 335.30, RiskTruncate(0, 236.8)) | KDCA (2020) |
Daily consumption ratio | % | ConFre | = Fixed 0.98 | KDCA (2020) |
| | CF(0) | = 1 – 0.98 / 100 | KDCA (2020) |
| | CF(1) | = 0.98 / 100 | KDCA (2020) |
| | CF | = RiskDiscrete({0, 1}, {CF(0), CF(1)}) | KDCA (2020) |
| g | Amount | = IF(CF = 0, 0, Consump) | KDCA (2020) |
Dose-response |
Norovirus amount | PFU/g | CV(dose) | = C3PFU/g× Amount | |
Parameter | | η | = Fixed 2.55 × 10−3 | Teunis et al. (2008) |
| | r | = Fixed 0.086 | Teunis et al. (2008) |
Risk |
Probability of illness/person/day | | Risk | = 1 – (1 + ηCV)−r | Teunis et al. (2008) |